The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its estimate of Romania's economic growth this year to 1.9%, from 2.8% in April, according to the latest World Economic Outlook report, published by the international financial institution on Tuesday, told Agerpres.
According to the new IMF forecasts, after a 2.1% growth last year, the Romanian economy will slow down to 1.9% this year, and then accelerate to 3.3% in 2025. In the spring, the IMF estimated a 2.8% increase in Romania's GDP in 2024, figures also revised downwards from the 3.8% advance forecast last autumn.
The international financial institution also expects Romania's current account deficit to widen further to 7.5% of GDP in 2024, from 7.1% of GDP, as forecast in April. Moreover, the IMF estimates a slight reduction in the current account deficit to 7% of GDP in 2025, down from the 6.8% it estimated in spring. According to IMF forecasts, Romania's current account deficit will remain at a high level even in 2029, when it will stand at 5.9% of GDP.
As regards inflation, the IMF foresees that Romania will record an average annual price increase of 5.3% this year, followed by 3.6% in 2025, after a 10.4% rise in 2023. By comparison, in April, the IMF was estimating an average annual inflation of 6% in 2024 and 4% in 2025.
As for the unemployment rate, the IMF expects it to remain stable at 5.6% in 2024 and to fall slightly to 5.4% in 2025.
The forecasts were released on the occasion of the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (WB), which are taking place this week in Washington.
In Bucharest, in September, the National Commission for Strategy and Prognosis (CNSP) revised downwards to 2.8% the economic growth projection for this year, from 3.4% previously, with the Gross Domestic Product expected to reach nearly 1,769 billion RON.